China Grove

Robb hits the nail on the head here. China may be resilient but it is not the tiger people ascribe it to be. Bird flu and SARS were important tests of its ability to handle complex transnational emergencies, tests it largely failed. Granted, we aren't so good at handling Black Swans either. But at least power here is diversified enough to cushion some of the blow.

As time goes on the Chinese will find themselves "heightening the contradictions," as an old comrade of the CCP's founder would put it.

Comments

[YT]

A.E. : TRANSPARENCY very lackin' in China. They've only started doin' somethin' 'bout that milkpowder business of late. Yep, just a paper tiger.

[A.E.]

Only time will tell, eh?

[subadei]

Funny. The nomenclature regarding China's "threat" is based on it's success. I'd be designing contingencies based on it's failure. A failed China may well be a fragmented China. Have yet to read a consideration of what China might look like if it suffers an economic or political collapse.

[A.E.]

Indeed, a weak China may be more of a threat to us than a strong one.

[YT]

Maybe it's best for 'em to be under totalitarian rule till a later period ('nother 3 - 5 decades) when they've got a really EDUCATED & well off middle class majority. Least the present leadership appears strong.

Strong Leadership = Long - term Stability

[A.E.]

I fear, however, that the Chinese people may not wait that long.