Chris Rawey has an interesting post up at Information Dissemination on potential opposing force adaptations that range beyond traditional "anti-access" threats:
It goes without saying of course, that countermeasures will be employed and the cycle of offense and defense will continue. The small, light torpedo boat concept advocated by the Jeune Ecole naval movement in late 19th century Europe, for example, was not as decisive as the French naval theorists thought. But the possibilities outlined here are still worry of study and concern."So what will the next ten years of OSW bring to maritime conflicts?
- A proliferation of sea and beach-launched small (read model airplane size) UAVs utilized by non-state actors to help target their water-borne IEDS and anti-ship cruise missiles
- Small, randomly strewn maritime IEDS (mines) through vital commercial choke points – think the Verrazano Narrows between Staten Island and Brooklyn vice Strait of Hormuz. Really, the whole “E” component isn’t necessarily, just some sinister looking boxes and an emailed threat alone is enough to disrupt traffic for a while in any given port
- Commercially available UUVs designed for oceanography converted into torpedoes
- Cell phones and social media used to agitate “flash mobs” of local fishing vessels in order to block the movement of navy or merchant vessels."
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