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August 10, 2010



Good post, your conclusions are quite sound, though much of what MAJ Feldman reports here, while once accurate in 2004, is no longer true. In fact, so close are his observations and conclusions to mine at the time, I looked to see if he cited something I wrote. I worked with the Ugandan Army (UPDF) on occasion from 2004-2006 in the north and they were indeed terrible by U.S. standards. Relative to other African armies they were quite good though and had significant training potential.

Regardless, it does appear that his research is nearly all from a particularly active time in March 2004 (I was in Northern Uganda at the time) when the LRA was raiding IDP camps with impunity and operating quite freely across Acholiland. At that time, the Ugandan Army refused to patrol at night, utilized terrible tactics and offered generally little protection to the IDP camps. Since then, the Ugandan Army has strengthened significantly with U.S. assistance, Southern Sudan has increased their efforts against the LRA and there has been some reform of the IDP camp system. As a result, the LRA has been forced to operate largely in the DR Congo and Southern Sudan and has little reach into Uganda, at least partially achieving Uganda's strategic goals in the conflict.


That's true, but the most recent joint military ops from last year were miserable failure. I think there has been progress (the elements you've cited), but he is still moving and effective.

In the long term, I agree that he's kind of becoming more and more progressively limited in his areas of operation and will probably either die at the hands of regional forces. If not, his group's cohesion ends when he dies.


This is also an interesting recent look from ICG on LRA: http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/africa/horn-of-africa/uganda/157-lra-a-regional-strategy-beyond-killing-kony.aspx


For an indepth look at Kony and the LRA, see the book, First Kill Your Family: Child Soldiers of Uganda and the Lord's Resistance Army.


Thanks for suggestion, Peter.

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In the decade captured by the photos - the 1960s - the Hashemite monarchy was newly overthrown, there were two military coups and then the advent of the Arab Socialist Baath Party in 1968.

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