Justin Kelly and Mike Brennan, who wrote last year's most provocative and interesting work of military theory, have done it again. In their new article "Looking for the Hedgehog Idea," they vault past the increasingly obsolete US COIN/Irregular warfare debate to get to the heart of what a new strategic paradigm for today's conflicts will look like.
I encourage everyone to read it in full, some more detailed comments coming later.
The heart of this article is in the right place, but I challenge whether or not their favorite hedgehog is a new or great idea. Coercion as in control as in a guy with a gun to your nuts is not a groundbreaking concept. It is, like other overtly force-related strategies, a band-aid fix for a gaping wound. Yes, coercive control inhibits loss, but it does not establish a winning position. I believe, with no degree of fervency, that the root of the issue is in the definition of victory. The authors allude to this, but do not take it up with any penetrative detail. I have my own thoughts on what victory means, but to keep it brief let me just ask the forum here the question: is coercion an instrument of victory or is it an instrument of inhibition of loss? And can everybody understand the difference?
Posted by: Vincent Bataoel | October 19, 2010 at 07:08 AM
The hedgehog in question in this article is control. Coercion, violence, or "overtly force-related strategies" constitute only a subset of the degrees of control that a human being may seek. Control isn't even merely a matter of strategy. The tactician strives to achieve tactical control. The operator strives to achieve operational control through the accumulation of tactical control. The strategist seeks to achieve strategic control through the accumulation of operational control. The politician seeks to achieve political control through the accumulation of strategic control. The kulturist seeks to achieve cultural control through the accumulation of political control.
J.C. Wylie, whose work this article largely recapitulates, explicitly laid out a strategic theory that was broader than military or violent applications. It ranges from passive influence through absolute annihilation and from war to peace.
Posted by: Joseph Fouche | October 19, 2010 at 09:28 AM
I am shellacked by work right now, but I want to go into greater detail on this article later. It is very interesting, and while there are disagreeable elements (especially the characterization of Clausewitz) it is still of great import.
Posted by: A.E. | October 19, 2010 at 05:42 PM
Thanks Fouche, I didn't get that bigger picture from my reading of the Hedgehog piece.
Posted by: Vincent Bataoel | October 20, 2010 at 06:49 PM
It's all based in the Wylie :)
Posted by: A.E. | October 20, 2010 at 06:50 PM
One question that would be useful to raise at a Boyd gathering: what did Boyd think of Wylie? The Patterns of Conflict source list includes Wylie's Military Strategy.
Posted by: Joseph Fouche | October 21, 2010 at 08:28 AM
I think that's a good subject of a future paper!
Posted by: A.E. | October 21, 2010 at 07:30 PM